When “Battle Island” is lurking on the horizon, UFC APEX nevertheless has a lot of mixed martial arts (MMA) action to supply. This Saturday night’s (June 20, 2020) celebration on ESPN will see Curtis Blaydes just take on Alexander Volkov in a clash of prime Heavyweights, although Josh Emmett squares off with Shane Burgos in what could simply be “Fight of the Year” Featherweight fireworks.
Also on faucet are Raquel Pennington vs. Marion Reneau and Belal Muhammad vs. Lyman Good.
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What Went Wrong at UFC on ESPN 10?
Anthony Ivy was…far more than a minor underwhelming, but all people else did excellent. I am, nevertheless, kicking myself for not adhering to by on my “oh God I’m in the purple I will need to resolve this Ideal NOW” prepare of putting practically the total remaining equilibrium on Cynthia Calvillo. Oh, nicely stay and study.
Bobby Eco-friendly (-245) vs. Clay Guida (+205)
Brianna Van Buren (-190) vs. Tecia Torres (+165)
Oskar Piechota (-125) vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (+105)
Gillian Robertson (-120) vs. Cortney Casey (EVEN)
Matt Frevola (-125) vs. Frank Camacho (+105)
Roxanne Modafferi (-120) vs. Lauren Murphy (EVEN)
Max Rohskopf (-185) vs. Austin Hubbard (+160)
Feelings: The pick-‘ems seem like the most fertile ground this week. I appreciate the line on Gillian Robertson and there is value in each Matt Frevola and Lauren Murphy.
Cortney Casey has been taken down at minimum once in seven of her very last 8 fights, resulting in a deeply underwhelming 39% protection price. That is a lot more than a slight trouble versus Robertson, who not only averages almost 3.5 takedowns for every 15 minutes but is a nightmare to deal with on the floor. “The Savage” did get tapped from guard by Mayra Bueno Silva and Casey has a few of good armbars to her credit, but the model matchup favors Robertson in a massive way.
Frank Camacho is oodles of exciting to observe, but he’s considerably much less than the sum of his components. Strong electricity, jaw-dropping striking volume, and a killer ground activity should make for far more Octagon achievement than a controversial final decision in excess of Damien Brown and a TKO of Nick Hein, who insists on ignoring his judo in favor of striving to box with some of the division’s stubbiest arms. This sort of constant underperformance has me favoring Frevola, who’s proven some high quality takedown chops and fairly a bit of toughness when not working with Polo Reyes’ crazy electricity. “The Steamrolla” should really outwrestle Camacho to a snug acquire.
I’m a lover of Roxanne Modafferi I have found her dealt with as a punchline in the previous, but she’s a qualified grappler who’s uncovered accomplishment versus solid opposition despite a absence of physicality. That stated, Murphy’s not an uncomplicated lady to manage on the mat and figures to be the far more effective striker of the two. “The Joyful Warrior’s” standup remains a weak url, a person that even someone as confined as “Lucky” can exploit. At the really minimum, Murphy need to be capable to manage the combat on the fence lengthy plenty of to get the decision.
Shane Burgos (-130) vs. Josh Emmett (+110)
Raquel Pennington (-165) vs. Marion Reneau (+145)
Belal Muhammad (-120) vs. Lyman Fantastic (EVEN)
Roosevelt Roberts (-225) vs. Jim Miller (+185)
Views: As another person who was sluggish to tab Roosevelt Roberts as a respectable prospect, I like his odds below. Even if Jim Miller’s experienced some solid performances recently and is finding treatment for the Lyme condition that derailed his occupation, he’s even now 36 and appreciably weathered. He visibly slowed and struggled with the physically more robust Scott Holtzmann final time out and the significantly taller Roberts poses a related danger, specifically with his killer guillotine stymieing Miller’s wrestling. Roberts’ takedown protection has failed him in the previous, notably from Vinc Pichel and just about disastrously towards Alexander Yakovlev, but he’s acquired ample actual physical strengths here to make him worth a engage in.
Curtis Blaydes looks worthy of a appear as very well. Alexander Volkov has in no way been a excellent defensive wrestler he managed to outlast Fabricio Werdum following obtaining taken down a few periods, but Blaydes is much significantly less probably to fuel and significantly additional probable to do key hurt with floor-and-pound while he’s on top. Use “Razor” to nudge a close line into the positives.
Finest bets for UFC on ESPN 11:
Parlay-Gillian Robertson and Curtis Blaydes: $60 to make $78
Parlay-Matt Frevola and Roosevelt Roberts: $50 to make $80
Parlay-Lauren Murphy and Curtis Blaydes: $40 to make $75
There are some matchups listed here, like Emmett-Burgos and Muhammad-Superior, that you totally do not want to miss. See you Saturday, Manaics.
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